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There's also something to be said for fresh starts and fitting in with new teams. That is not to say that they'll always generate high-quality looks in isolation it's just that defenses can't key on one particular guy when the shot clock starts approaching zero. In Sacramento, the Kings have two other players capable of creating their own shot: DeMarcus Cousins and Isaiah Thomas. Gay can't attack an overzealous closeout and must instead beat a defender who's squared, balanced and ready to lock up for four seconds. And now with five seconds left on the shot clock, it's up to him to create something.īut there's barely any time to get to the rim, and Valanciunas' rim pressure isn't enough to draw any help.
#RUDY GAY KINGS JUMPING SERIES#
Kyle Lowry tries to take Ty Lawson one-on-one, but can't Jonas Valanciunas uses a series of ball fakes and jabs to get to his right hook, but loses balance and throws the ball wildly out to Gay. But far too often he was caught in situations like this: That's not to say that Gay wasn't also breaking the offense to isolate in Toronto, because he certainly was. These situations, therefore, often lead to many poor-quality shots and a subsequent negative impact on efficiency-in Gay's case, a lower-overall field-goal percentage. One simple theory emerges from this data: Gay is not being fed the ball as much in late-clock situations, where's he's under immense pressure to generate a high-quality shot in a short amount of time. Whereas 12.6 percent of Gay's jump shots with Toronto this season came with less than four seconds left on the shot clock, per Synergy Sports, only 8.1 percent of his jump shots in Sacramento have been attempted under this scenario. Although there are no particular statistics quantifying this notion, it would appear that Gay's isolations are coming under less pressure. We can dig even deeper if we look specifically at these isolations in the context of the Sacramento offense. Since being traded to Sacramento, Gay's isolation percentage has dropped to 15.9 percent. Although this is still a relatively high rate for a non-elite isolator, it's more manageable in the flow of an offense. According to Synergy Sports (subscription required), isolations accounted for 24.3 percent of his offense in Toronto-the third-highest rate in the entire NBA. More specifically, Gay isn't generating as much of his offense through pure isolation. As Goldsberry notes, Gay's finishing rate at the rim and in the mid-range have skyrocketed. Since the move to Sacramento, his minutes and shot attempts have decreased, and his field-goal percentage has shot up from 39 to right around 52 percent. While the statistics certainly reveal the same truth as the eye test, it isn't simply a function of more of Gay's shots going in the basket. As the alpha dog in Toronto, the scoring burden knocked his efficiency numbers down significantly. While he's certainly an above-average NBA player, he's not nearly good enough to carry an entire offense. In basketball terms, Rudy Gay of the Toronto Raptors simply had the ball in his hands too much.
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Even if the Kings were interested in Josh McRoberts, his 2016-17 salary leaves you only at a $5.8 million starting point for a trade.Earlier this month, Grantland's Kirk Goldsberry wrote a piece about Rudy Gay, in which he argued that his resurgence in Sacramento has been a function of the Peter Principle-a theory which, with respect to Gay, states that his increased efficiency is due to his decreased volume as a scorer. Working with that math and those limitations, it is difficult to build any package at the moment that doesn't include Goran Dragic. But even then, the Heat would have to send something close to Gay's $13.3 million salary back to the Kings, a figure than cannot include any player signed this offseason (such deals are prohibited until Dec. So why have someone step in front of Winslow? Now, if the Heat know/learn that Chris Bosh won't be able to play this season, and therefore potentially have to move Winslow to power forward, then the possibility of Gay could become somewhat more realistic. But, beyond that, Pat Riley said that he envisions Justise Winslow as the Heat's starting small forward going forward. In other words, the Heat likely would want Gay to agree to bypass his option year before any deal is made. After attempting to hold the line on negotiations beyond this year, it is unlikely the Heat would want to jump into such an amount beyond next season. First, while Gay can get out of his contract after earning $13.3 million this season, he also holds a player option for $14.3 million in 2017-18. MIAMI - Q: Does Rudy Gay strike you as a good fit in Miami? - Brian.Ī: There are a couple of impacting issues in place regarding a potential trade with the Kings.